China: Zahlen exakt nach „Plan“ – hier im Original-Wortlaut

FMW-Redaktion

Es ist sensationell, wenn in einem kommunistischen Land die Wirtschaftsleistung auch wirklich immer wieder exakt nach „Plan“ wächst. So geschieht es immer wieder in China. Auch heute hatte man für das abgelaufene Quartal auf Jahresbasis ein Plus von 6,7% erwartet. Es kam die Zahl von 6,7%, phantastisch. Und das auch noch drei Quartale nacheinander, immer exakt das selbe prozentuale Wachstum. Solche exakten Statistik-Treffer sind zum Beispiel auch in Dubai möglich, wie wir vor Kurzem aufzeigten. Aber bleiben wir in China. Hier der Text der Statistikbehörde im Original:

„According to the preliminary estimation, the gross domestic product (GDP) of China in the first three quarters of this year was 52,997.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.7 percent at comparable prices. Specifically, the year-on-year growth was 6.7 percent for the first quarter, 6.7 percent for the second quarter and 6.7 percent for the third quarter. The value added of the primary industry was 4,066.6 billion yuan, up by 3.5 percent year-on-year; that of the secondary industry was 20,941.5 billion yuan, up by 6.1 percent; and that of the tertiary industry was 27,989.0 billion yuan, up by 7.6 percent. The gross domestic product of the third quarter of 2016 went up by 1.8 percent on a quarter-on-quarter basis.“

Ohne Worte, oder… ? Wenn doch auch unsere Politiker so gut schätzen und planen könnten! Die chinesische Industrieproduktion soll im September im Vergleich zum Vorjahr um sensationelle 6,1% gestiegen sein – auch diese Zahl liegt genau im Plan! Viele Teilzahlen liegen sogar noch höher. Einfach sensationell, wenn man bedenkt, mit welchen Problemen die Wirtschaft zu kämpfen hat. Auch erstaunlich sind diese Zuwächse, wenn man sie in Relation setzt zu den immer noch schwachen Handelsströmen (Im- und Exporte). Auch fliehen zahlreiche chinesische Industrie-Unternehmer vor den arg steigenden Lohnkosten in China nach Indien oder sogar Afrika. Aber +6,1 in der Industrie, läuft! Hier im Originalzitat:

„The total value added of the industrial enterprises above designated size in the first three quarters was up by 6.0 percent year-on-year at comparable prices, the same level as that in the first half of the year. An analysis by types of ownership showed that the value added of state holding enterprises went up by 1.0 percent year-on-year; collective enterprises up by 0.7 percent; share-holding enterprises up by 6.9 percent; and enterprises funded by foreign investors or investors from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan up by 4.2 percent. In terms of sectors, the value added of mining industry was down by 0.4 percent year-on-year; manufacturing up by 6.9 percent and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas and water up by 4.3 percent. The industrial structure continued to be improved. In the first three quarters, the value added of high-tech industry and equipment manufacturing industry grew by 10.6 percent and 9.1 percent year-on-year respectively, 4.6 percentage points and 3.1 percentage points higher than that of the industrial enterprises above designated size as a whole, accounting for 12.2 percent and 32.6 percent of the value added of the industrial enterprises above designated size, an increase of 0.6 percentage point and 1.2 percentage points compared with the same period last year. The sales ratio of industrial enterprises above designated size was 97.5 percent. The export delivery value of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 8,595.0 billion yuan, down by 0.1 percent. In September, the total value added of the industrial enterprises above designated size was up by 6.1 percent year-on-year, or 0.47 percent month-on-month.

In the first eight months of this year, the profits made by industrial enterprises above designated size stood at 4,058.4 billion yuan, up by 8.4 percent year-on-year, 2.2 percentage points higher than that in the first half of the year. Specifically, the profits grew by 19.5 percent in August, 8.5 percentage points higher than that in the previous month. The costs for per-hundred-yuan turnover of primary activities of the industrial enterprises above designated size reached 85.87 yuan, and the profit rate from primary activities was 5.66 percent.“

BIP + Industrieproduktion zuletzt über 6%. Dann müssten die Exporte ja eigentlich auch kräftig steigen, denn irgendwohin müssen die Proukte ja geliefert werden bei einem Land, dass Außenhandelsüberschüsse erzielt? Aber nein, im September gingen die Exporte auf Jahresbasis um 5,6% zurück. Da kann irgendwas nicht so recht stimmen, oder? Zitat:

„The total value of imports and exports in the first three quarters of 2016 was 17,531.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.9 percent year-on-year, or 1.7 percentage points lower than that in the first half of the year. The total value of exports was 10,058.5 billion yuan, dropped by 1.6 percent, 1.1 percentage points lower; and that of imports was 7,473.3 billion yuan, down by 2.3 percent, 2.4 percentage points lower. The trade surplus was 2,585.2 billion yuan. In September, the total value of imports and exports was 2,167.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4 percent. Of the total, the value of exports was 1,223.1 billion yuan, down by 5.6 percent; and that of imports was 944.8 billion yuan, up by 2.2 percent. The trade structure was improved. In the first three quarters, the value of imports and exports of general trade accounted for 56 percent of the total, an increase of 1.1 percentage points compared with the same period last year.“
–
–
–
Quelle: National Bureau of Statistics of China