Das Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) der US-Notenbank Federal Reserve (Fed) hat soeben verkündet, dass man den Leitzins um 25 Basispunkte anhebt (wie erwartet).
FOMC redline statement pic.twitter.com/voyklZZWxN
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 16, 2022
6 weitere Zinsanhebungen in diesem Jahr laut Holger Zschaepitz. Markus Koch spricht von 7 in diesem Jahr basierend auf den Dots – mit 5-6 war gerechnet worden. Bei jedem anstehenden Meeting des FOMC in diesem Jahr müsste es also eine Zinsanhebung geben. Der Dow Jones reagiert mit -300 Punkten in den letzten 15 Minuten. CNBC spricht aktuell übrigens von 6 weiteren Zinsanhebungen in diesem Jahr.
#Fed raises interest rates for 1st time in 3yrs to fight inflation by 25bps to 0.25-0.50% as expected, forecasts 6 more hikes in 2022. Median dot-plot forecast for the federal funds rate at the end of 2024 is 2.75%. So, that’s an overshoot of the neutral 2.375% (cut from 2.5%). pic.twitter.com/AVyvVNRBkb
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) March 16, 2022
7 hikes in the dot plot this year
— ForexLive (@ForexLive) March 16, 2022
Laut Markus Koch ist die Reduzierung der Bilanz wichtig für den Aktienmarkt – dies werde im Statement aber offen gelassen.
Hier der Live-Video-Kommentar zur Fed-Entscheidung von Markus Koch:
Hier das Statement im Wortlaut:
Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen. Job gains have been strong in recent months, and the unemployment rate has declined substantially. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.
The invasion of Ukraine by Russia is causing tremendous human and economic hardship. The implications for the U.S. economy are highly uncertain, but in the near term the invasion and related events are likely to create additional upward pressure on inflation and weigh on economic activity.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. With appropriate firming in the stance of monetary policy, the Committee expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1/4 to 1/2 percent and anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate. In addition, the Committee expects to begin reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities at a coming meeting.
In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee’s goals. The Committee’s assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.
Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; Esther L. George; Patrick Harker; Loretta J. Mester; and Christopher J. Waller. Voting against this action was James Bullard, who preferred at this meeting to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 0.5 percentage point to 1/2 to 3/4 percent. Patrick Harker voted as an alternate member at this meeting.
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