Konjunkturdaten

Aktuell: US-Einkaufsmanagerindizes schwächer – Industrie mit schlechtestem Wert seit 2009

Soeben wurden die Einkaufsmanagerindizes für die USA (Markit PMI; Juni) veröffentlicht:

 

Verarbeitendes Gewerbe 50,1  (schlechtester Wert seit 2009; Prognose war 50,5; Vormonat war 50,5)

 

Dienstleistung 50,7  (Prognose war 51,0; Vormonat war 50,9)

Gesamtindex  50,6 (schlechtester Wert seit Februar 2016; Vormonat war 50,9)

 

Dazu kommentiert Chris Williamson von Markit, das die Daten erhebt:

 

“Business activity edged closerto stagnation in June, expanding at the slowest rate since February and rounding off a second quarter in which the survey datapoint to the pace of economic expansion slipping to 1.4%.“Recent months have seen a manufacturing-led downturn increasingly infect the service sector. The strong services economy seen earlier in the year has buckled to show barely any expansion in June, recordingthe second-weakest monthly growthsince the global financial crisis.“Business optimism has also become more subdued, with sentiment about the year ahead down to a new series lowamid intensifying worries about tariffs, geopolitical risk and slower economic growth in the months ahead. “The labor market is also showing signs of weakening. The surveydatafor Juneindicatenon-farm payroll growth of 140k,averageing 150k in the second quarter after a 200k signal for the first three months of the year.“Prices for goods and services meanwhile rose at a slightly increased ratein June, mainly due to tariffs. To illustrate, some two-thirds of all manufacturers attributed some or all of their raw material cost increases to tariffs during the month. However,theinflationary impact of tariffs was offset by a broader softeningof demand, which reduced suppliers’ pricing power. The overall rate of input cost inflation in manufacturing eased to a two-year low, while average selling prices for goods and services showed one of the smallest rises seen since late-2016.”



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