Aktuell: US-Konjunkturdaten leicht besser als erwartet – US-Aktienmärkte fallen dennoch weiter..

FMW-Redaktion

Die US-Industrieaufträge sind mit +1,7% besser ausgefallen als erwartet (Prognose war +1,5%); Vormonat war +1,3%).

Die US-Verbraucherstimmung Uni Michigan (2.Veröffentlichung) ist mit 95,7 ebenfalls leicht besser ausgefallen als erwartet (Prognose war 95,0; Erstveröffentlichung war 94,4).

Dazu Richard Curtin, der die Umfrage verantwortet:

„Consumer sentiment has remained largely unchanged for more than a year at very favorable levels. The January Sentiment figure was just 0.2 Index-points below December’s, and just 1.1 points below the 2017 average of 96.8–which was the highest yearly average since 2000. Stock price increases and the passage of tax reforms were mentioned by all-time record numbers of consumers. To be sure, there were small offsetting declines among lower income households and residents of the Northeast. Consumers continued to expect growth in jobs and incomes, but anticipated a slightly higher inflation rate. Importantly, the motivating force behind purchase decisions has shifted from discounts on prices and interest rates to increased confidence in future job security and growth in wages as well as financial assets. This renewed sense of confidence was responsible for the recent declines in savings rates. The tax cuts will increase discretionary spending once higher energy bills due to the unusually cold weather are paid. Monetary policy will need to tighten in the year ahead, but given consumers‘ decade long experience with record low interest rates, only modest increases in interest rates will be sufficient to curb any excesses. Overall, the data signal an expected gain of 2.8% in real personal consumption expenditures during 2018.“