Konjunkturdaten

Aktuell: US-Verbaucherstimmung besser – Amerika erwarten aber nicht Wachstums-Beschleunigung

Das US-Verbrauchvertrauen (Conference Board; Juli) ist mit 127,4 besser ausgefallen als erwartet (Prognose war 126,5; Vormonat war 126,4).

 

Dazu schreibt das Conference Board, das die Daten erhebt:

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index increased marginally in July, following a modest decline in June. The Index now stands at 127.4 (1985=100), up from 127.1 in June. The Present Situation Index improved from 161.7 to 165.9, while the Expectations Index declined from 104.0 last month to 101.7 this month.

“Consumer confidence gained marginal ground in July, after a modest decline in June,” said Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. “Consumers’ assessment of present-day conditions improved, suggesting that economic growth is still strong. However, while expectations continue to reflect optimism in the short-term economic outlook, back-to-back declines suggest consumers do not foresee growth accelerating.”

Consumers’ assessment of current conditions improved further in July. Those stating business conditions are “good” increased from 37.2 percent to 38.0 percent, while those saying business conditions are “bad” declined from 11.5 percent to 10.1 percent. Consumers’ assessment of the labor market was also more favorable. Those claiming jobs are “plentiful” increased from 40.4 percent to 43.1 percent, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get” was virtually unchanged at 15.0 percent.

Consumers’ optimism about the short-term outlook waned again in July. The percentage of consumers anticipating business conditions will improve over the next six months increased from 20.7 percent to 23.1 percent, but those expecting business conditions will worsen also rose, from 9.3 percent to 10.8 percent.

Consumers’ outlook for the labor market was also mixed. The proportion expecting more jobs in the months ahead increased from 20.0 percent to 22.5 percent, but those anticipating fewer jobs also increased, from 13.1 percent to 15.7 percent. Regarding their short-term income prospects, the percentage of consumers expecting an improvement rose from 19.7 percent to 20.8 percent, but the proportion expecting a decrease also rose, from 7.9 percent to 9.2 percent.“

 

 

 

Freizeitpark in einer Mall in Minnesota
Foto: Jeremy Noble from St. Paul, United States
CC BY 2.0

 

 



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