Aktuell: US-Verbraucherstimmung Uni Michigan schwächer als erwartet

Die US-Verbraucherstimmung Uni Michigan (1.Veröffentlichung für April) ist mit 96,9 schwächer ausgefallen als erwartet (Prognose war 98,1; Vormonat war 98,4).

Die Einschätzung der aktuellen Lage liegt bei 114,2 (Prognose war 112,5; Vormonat war 113,3)

Die Konjunkturerwatung liegt bei 85,8 (Prognose war 88,5; Vormonat war 88,8)

#UnitedStates Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel at 96.9 https://t.co/CYGdEmm87g pic.twitter.com/RetZ8XnM1n
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) April 12, 2019

Dazu schreibt Richard Curtin, der die Umfrage verantwortet:

„Consumer confidence continued its sideways shuffle in early April, posting an insignificant decline following the small gain recorded last month. Overall, the level of the Sentiment Index during the past 30 months was higher than any other time since 1997 to 2000, the final phase of the record 10-year expansion; a record that will be soon overtaken by the current expansion. Interestingly, the impact of the tax reform legislation on consumer confidence has all but disappeared (see the chart). Spontaneous references to the tax reform program were on balance favorable in January 2018 (22% favorable minus 6% unfavorable). Since then, however, unaided references declined sharply so that by early April the net balance was zero (4% favorable minus 4% unfavorable). The data do not imply that consumers were pleased or displeased with the reforms, especially the limitations on SALT deductions. The data do suggest that consumers thought that its stimulative impact on the overall economy has now run its course. What has been of increasing importance to consumers are rising nominal incomes, and low inflation, producing strong gains in inflation adjusted incomes. Unfortunately, vehicle and home buying have not benefitted from low prices, but consumers have increasingly voiced complaints about rising vehicle and home prices, and slight declines in unit sales of both markets are anticipated in 2019.“