Wie allgemein erwartet, beläßt die US-Notenbank Federal Reserve (Fed) die Zinsen unverändert bei 5,25% bis 5,50%. Ab 20.30 Uhr berichten wir über die Pressekonferenz von Jerome Powell.
Die Fed erwartet im Median drei Zinsssenkungen und geht davon aus, dass die Kerninflation im Jahr 2024 auf 2,4% fällt – ziemlich dovish. Daher jubeln die US-Aktienmärkte, der Dollar und Renditen fallen
Hier die wichtigsten Aussagen aus dem Statement der US-Notenbank:
FED HOLDS BENCHMARK RATE IN 5.25%-5.5% TARGET RANGE
*FED: WILL ASSESS EXTENT OF ‚ANY‘ ADDITIONAL FIRMING NEEDED
*FED SAYS INFLATION ‚EASED‘ OVER PAST YEAR BUT REMAINS ELEVATED
FOMC MEDIAN 2024 PCE & CORE PCE FORECASTS DECLINE TO 2.4%
FOMC MEDIAN FORECAST SHOWS 75 BPS OF RATE CUTS IN 2024 TO 4.6%
Das Statement der Fed im Wortlaut:
Recent indicators suggest that growth of economic activity has slowed from its strong pace in the third quarter. Job gains have moderated since earlier in the year but remain strong, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation has eased over the past year but remains elevated.
The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient. Tighter financial and credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring, and inflation. The extent of these effects remains uncertain. The Committee remains highly attentive to inflation risks.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent. The Committee will continue to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy. In determining the extent of any additional policy firming that may be appropriate to return inflation to 2 percent over time, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments. In addition, the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities, as described in its previously announced plans. The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.
In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee’s goals. The Committee’s assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.
Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Bowman; Lisa D. Cook; Austan D. Goolsbee; Patrick Harker; Philip N. Jefferson; Neel Kashkari; Adriana D. Kugler; Lorie K. Logan; and Christopher J. Waller.
FOMC redline comparison: fewest changes in the past year pic.twitter.com/eakAZZTT9K
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 13, 2023
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Perfekt gescribtet. Wir mahnen dass die Zinsen lange hoch bleiben und jetzt qird gesenkt. Biden und Powell, sie Wiederwahl ist gesichert!
Das Land und ihre massgeblichen Repräsentanten irritieren mich immer mehr! Es scheint,wie in Argentinien,Venezuela,Simbabwe usw.auch beim Uncle Sam zu gelten:Je höher die Schulden desto besser sieht’s an der Börse aus!
Ende des Jahres beträgt das National Debt 34 Billionen,das Total Debt 103 Billionen Dollar(europäische Rechengrösse wohlgemerkt.
Respekt,wenn man mit solchen Fakten so breitbeinig auftritt.Es kann aber auch ein ausgewiesenes Realitätsverdrängungssyndrom vorliegen.Ich bin nicht scharf darauf es in meiner geplanten Restlebenszeit von ca.15 Jahren zu erfahren.