Konjunkturdaten

US-Verbrauchervertrauen dramatisch schlechter als erwartet!

Das US-Verbrauchvertrauen (Conference Board; März) ist mit 124,1 dramatisch schlechter ausgefallen als erwartet (Prognose war 132,0; Vormonat war 131,4).

Die Einschätzung der aktuellen Lage liegt bei 160,6 Indexpunkten (Vormonat 172,8).

Die Erwartungen liegen bei 99,8 (Vormonat 103,8).

Dazu schreibt das Conference Board, das die Daten erhebt:

“Consumer Confidence decreased in March after rebounding in February, with the Present Situation the main driver of this month’s decline,” said Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. “Confidence has been somewhat volatile over the past few months, as consumers have had to weather volatility in the financial markets, a partial government shutdown and a very weak February jobs report. Despite these dynamics, consumers remain confident that the economy will continue expanding in the near term. However, the overall trend in confidence has been softening since last summer, pointing to a moderation in economic growth.”

The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey®, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and analytics around what consumers buy and watch. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was March 14.

Consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined in March. The percentage of consumers stating business conditions are “good” decreased from 40.6 percent to 33.4 percent, while those saying business conditions are “bad” increased from 11.1 percent to 13.6 percent. Consumers’ assessment of the labor market was less upbeat. Those stating jobs are “plentiful” decreased from 45.7 percent to 42.0 percent, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get” increased from 11.7 percent to 13.7 percent.

Consumers’ optimism about the short-term future moderated in March. The percentage of consumers expecting business conditions will improve over the next six months declined from 19.6 percent to 17.7 percent, while those expecting business conditions will worsen remained relatively flat, 9.3 percent versus 9.2 percent last month.

Consumers’ outlook for the labor market was less favorable. The proportion expecting more jobs in the months ahead decreased from 19.0 percent to 16.4 percent, while those anticipating fewer jobs increased from 12.3 percent to 13.4 percent. Regarding their short-term income prospects, the percentage of consumers expecting an improvement rose slightly, from 20.6 percent to 21.0 percent, while the proportion expecting a decrease declined, from 8.3 percent to 7.6 percent.


Freizeitpark in einer Mall in Minnesota
Foto: Jeremy Noble from St. Paul, United States
CC BY 2.0



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