Das Verbrauchervertrauen der Uni Michigan (1.Veröffentlichung für November) ist mit 54,4 deutlich schwächer ausgefallen als erwartet (Prognose 59,5; Vormonat war 59,9).
Die Einschätzung der aktuellen Lage liegt bei 57,8 (Vormonat war 65,5)
Die Konsumentenerwartung liegt bei 52,7 (Vormonat war 56,2)
Inflationserwartungen:
1 Jahr: 5,1% (Prognose war 5,1%; Vormonat war 5,0%)
5-10 Jahre: 3,0% (Prognose war 2,9%; Vormonat war 2,9%)
Dazu Joanne Hsu, die die Umfrage verantwortet:
„Consumer sentiment fell about 9% below October, erasing about half of the gains that had been recorded since the historic low in June. All components of the index declined from last month, but buying conditions for durables, which had markedly improved last month, decreased most sharply in November, falling back 21% on the basis of high interest rates as well as continued high prices. Overall, declines in sentiment were observed across the distribution of age, education, income, geography, and political affiliation, showing that the recent improvements in sentiment were tentative. Instability in sentiment is likely to continue, a reflection of uncertainty over both global factors and the eventual outcomes of the election.
Inflation expectations are little changed. The median expected year-ahead inflation rate was 5.1%, up from 5.0% last month. Long run inflation expectations, currently at 3.0%, have remained in the narrow (albeit elevated) 2.9-3.1% range for 15 of the last 16 months.“
Consumer Confidence in the United States decreased to 54.70 points in November from 59.90 points in October of 2022. https://t.co/CYGdEm4wIG pic.twitter.com/NuESaQAlfb
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) November 11, 2022
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations in the United States increased to 3 percent in November from 2.90 percent in October of 2022. https://t.co/uWiyL7kXRC pic.twitter.com/ytbyYicYes
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) November 11, 2022
Michigan Inflation Expectations in the United States increased to 5.10 percent in November from 5 percent in October of 2022. https://t.co/jPp2m1j6NQ pic.twitter.com/wmJb5s3GS2
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) November 11, 2022
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