US-Verbrauchervertrauen Uni Michigan: Amerikaner werden skeptischer

Das Verbrauchervertrauen der Uni Michigan (2.Veröffentlichung für Mai) ist mit 72,3 leicht schlechter ausgefallen als erwartet (1.Veröffentlichugn wrar 73,3, Vormonat war 71,8).

Die Einschätzung der aktuellen Lage liegt bei 82,3 (Vormonat war 74,3)

Die Konsumentenerwartung liegt bei 65,9 (Vormonat war 70,1)

Dazu schreibt Richard Curtin, der die Umfrage verantwortet:

„Consumer sentiment has remained largely unchanged during the past two months, with the final May estimate just a half index point above the April reading. The CARES relief checks and higher unemployment payments have helped to stem economic hardship, but those programs have not acted to stimulate discretionary spending due to uncertainty about the future course of the pandemic. It should not be surprising that a growing number of consumers expected the economy to improve from its recent standstill, or that the majority still thought conditions in the economy would remain unfavorable in the year ahead. This has been a common occurrence in past cycles (see the chart). Expectations for economic growth have always dominated at the ends of recessions, and favorable assessments about the current state of the economy are more frequent near the ends of expansions. The gap between economic growth and the current performance of the economy is likely to grow significantly when the disastrous 2nd quarter GDP is announced. More widespread price discounting as well as low interest rates have helped to improve buying plans, but those plans still remain well below the levels recorded three months ago. Adding to consumers‘ concerns about a significant expected drop in income growth, year-ahead inflation expectations rose sharply, putting extra pressure on consumers‘ abilities to maintain their living standards.“

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