Soeben wurde die Einkaufsmanagerindex für die USA (S&P Global PMI; November) veröffentlicht – einer der besten Gradmesser für die Wirtschaft der USA:
Verarbeitendes Gewerbe: 46,2 (Prognose war 47,7; Vormonat war 47,7)
Dienstleistung: 44,4 (Prognose war 46,8; Vormonat war 46,2)
Gesamtindex: 44,6 (Vormonat war 47,0)
Marktreaktion: Dollar schwächer, US-Aktienmärkte leicht höher, Renditen fallen. Schlechte Nachrichten sind noch gute Nachrichten. Das wird sich bald ändern, weil die Fed auf dem Bremspedal bleibt und gleichzeitig ie Wirtschaft in eine Rezession fallen wird
Dazu S&P Global, das die Daten erhebt:
„US private sector firms signalled a further decline in output during December, according to latest ‘flash’ PMI™ data from S&P Global. The downturn gathered pace, as business activity fell at the joint-sharpest rate since May 2020. Manufacturers and service providers alike registered
steeper decreases in output, as weaker demand conditions, inflation and hikes in interest rates dampened activity levels.
Driving the fall in total activity was a quicker decrease in new business across the private sector. Pressure on purchasing power among customers and company balance sheets led to a strong decline in new orders, and one that was the fastest since May 2020. Weak demand
conditions were broad-based, though manufacturing firms saw a steeper decrease in new orders compared to their service sector counterparts..“.
Composite PMI in the United States decreased to 44.60 points in December from 46.40 points in November of 2022. https://t.co/hg0xT8OPY6 pic.twitter.com/x4NaGPr6ar
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) December 16, 2022
Manufacturing PMI in the United States decreased to 46.20 points in December from 47.70 points in November of 2022. https://t.co/C3JmGW8ZZr pic.twitter.com/cBM8cJgzsx
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) December 16, 2022
Services PMI in the United States decreased to 44.40 points in December from 46.20 points in November of 2022. https://t.co/j2GKlgAc8n pic.twitter.com/4S07NzRGKv
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) December 16, 2022
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