Soeben wurde der Einkaufsmanagerindex für die USA (Markit PMI; Mai) veröffentlicht:
Verarbeitendes Gewerbe 39,8 (Prognose war 38,0; Vormonat war 36,1)
Dienstleistung 36,9 (Prognose war 30,0; Vormonat war 26,7)
Gesamtindex 36,4 (Vormonat war 27,0)
Dazu kommentiert Chris Williamson von Markit, das die Daten erhebt:#
“The severe drop in business activity in May comes on the heels of a record downturn in April, adding to signs that GDP is set to suffer an unprecedented decline in the second quarter. “Encouragement comes from the survey indicating that the rate of economic collapse seems to have
peaked in April. In the absence of a second wave of COVID-19 infections, the decline should moderate further in coming months as measures taken to
contain the coronavirus are steadily lifted. “However, the sheer scale of the current downturn and associated job losses, and the fact that some
restrictions will need to stay in place until an effective treatment or vaccine are found, highlights how a full recovery is unlikely to be swift. “We anticipate that GDP will decline at an annualised rate of around 37% in the second quarter, and it will take the economy two years to regain the prepandemic peak.”
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