Allgemein

Die wichtigsten Aussagen des FOMC-Statements + Wortlaut

FMW-Redaktion

– Fed lässst Begriff „transitory“ weg – also die Bezeichnung der Schwäche der US-Konjunktur als „vorübergehend“

– Fed wird notfalls QE fortsetzen

– Kashkari war gegen Anhebung

– Fed senkt ihre Prognose für Arbeitslosenquote auf 4,2% – also viel Optimismus

– Fed erwartet für 2018 vier weitere Anhebungen (FMW: hahahaha..); sehr hawkish.. Zur Erinnerung: nächstes Jahr kommen 5 neue Fed-Mitglieder hinzu, die von Trump nominiert werden

– Fed erwartet in näherer Zukunft Inflation leicht unter 2%

– Bilanzsumme soll noch in diesem Jahr reduziert werden

– der Vergleich zum letzten Statement – was hat sich verändert:

Das Statement im Wortlaut:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in May indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising moderately so far this year. Job gains have moderated but have been solid, on average, since the beginning of the year, and the unemployment rate has declined. Household spending has picked up in recent months, and business fixed investment has continued to expand. On a 12-month basis, inflation has declined recently and, like the measure excluding food and energy prices, is running somewhat below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee continues to expect that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace, and labor market conditions will strengthen somewhat further. Inflation on a 12-month basis is expected to remain somewhat below 2 percent in the near term but to stabilize around the Committee’s 2 percent objective over the medium term. Near term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced, but the Committee is monitoring inflation developments closely.

In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1 to 1-1/4 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting some further strengthening in labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. The Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected inflation developments relative to its symmetric inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. The Committee currently expects to begin implementing a balance sheet normalization program this year, provided that the economy evolves broadly as anticipated. This program, which would gradually reduce the Federal Reserve’s securities holdings by decreasing reinvestment of principal payments from those securities, is described in the accompanying addendum to the Committee’s Policy Normalization Principles and Plans.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; Charles L. Evans; Stanley Fischer; Patrick Harker; Robert S. Kaplan; and Jerome H. Powell. Voting against the action was Neel Kashkari, who preferred at this meeting to maintain the existing target range for the federal funds rate.



Kommentare lesen und schreiben, hier klicken

2 Kommentare

  1. Die FED wird notfalls QE fortsetzen hört sich nicht sehr optimistisch an.
    Dass die Schwäche nicht mehr nur vorübergehend ist, auch nicht.
    Die Arbeitslosenquote wird bestenfalls sinken, weil die Beteiligungsquote sinkt, nicht mehr, nicht weniger.
    Eine einzige weitere Anhebung mag es noch geben, damit Janet dem Donnie noch einen reinwürgen kann, bevor er sie chasst. Aber sicher nicht vorm Spätherbst ;)
    Es bleibt nur zu hoffen, dass Draghi nicht genau den gleichen Fehler begeht und viel zu lange wartet, bis die Konjunktur den Zenit bereits überschritten hat. Aber da habe ich eher weniger Hoffnung…

  2. jedenfalls danke an FWM für die Zusammenfassung.

Hinterlassen Sie eine Antwort

Ihre E-Mail-Adresse wird nicht veröffentlicht. Erforderliche Felder sind mit * markiert.




ACHTUNG: Wenn Sie den Kommentar abschicken stimmen Sie der Speicherung Ihrer Daten zur Verwendung der Kommentarfunktion zu.
Weitere Information finden Sie in unserer Zur Datenschutzerklärung

Meist gelesen 7 Tage