Das Verbrauchervertrauen der Uni Michigan (1.Veröffentlichung für August) ist mit 55,1 deutlich besser ausgefallen als erwartet (Prognose 52,5; Vormonat war 51,5).
Die Einschätzung der aktuellen Lage liegt allerdings schwächer, sie liegt bei 55,5 (Vormonat war 58,1)
Die Konsumentenerwartung liegt bei 54,9 (Vormonat war 47,3)
Inflation expectations:
1Yr: 5.0%, Exp. 5.1%, Last 5.2%
5-10Yr: 3.0%, Exp. 2.8%, Last 2.9%
Marktreaktion: Dollar steigen, US-Renditen steigen, US-Aktienmärkte wieder schwächer..
Dazu Joanne Hsu, die die Umfrage verantwortet:
„Consumer sentiment moved up very slightly this month to about 5 index points above the all-time low reached in June. All components of the expectations index improved this month, particularly among low and middle income consumers for whom inflation is particularly salient. The year-ahead economic outlook rose substantially to just above its average reading from the second quarter 2022, while the two other expectations index components remain at or below their second quarter averages. At the same time, high income consumers, who generate a disproportionate share of spending, registered large declines in both their current personal finances as well as buying conditions for durables. With continued declines in energy prices, the median expected year-ahead inflation rate fell to 5.0%, its lowest reading since February but still well above the 4.6% reading from a year ago. At 3.0%, median long run inflation expectations remained within the 2.9-3.1% range seen over the past year. Uncertainty over long run inflation receded a bit, with the interquartile range in expectations falling from 4.7 last month to 3.8 this month, remaining above the 3.3 range seen last August. Still, the share of consumers blaming inflation for eroding their living standards remained near 48%.“
Consumer Confidence in the United States increased to 55.10 points in August from 51.50 points in July of 2022. https://t.co/CYGdEmm87g pic.twitter.com/OLmt8iInL0
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) August 12, 2022
Michigan Inflation Expectations in the United States decreased to 5 percent in August from 5.20 percent in July of 2022. https://t.co/jPp2m1j6NQ pic.twitter.com/OFMNIcBNjb
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) August 12, 2022
Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations in the United States increased to 3 percent in August from 2.90 percent in July of 2022. https://t.co/uWiyL7Czgc pic.twitter.com/pZ5sWtLFsy
— Trading Economics (@tEconomics) August 12, 2022
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