USA: Verbrauchervertrauen wie erwartet, Inflations-Erwartung steigt

Das US-Verbrauchervertrauen (Conference Board-Daten für Juni) ist mit 100,4 minimal besser ausgefallen als erwartet (Prognose für heute war 100,0; Vormonat war 102,0, nun auf 101,3 nach unten revidiert).

Die Einschätzung der aktuellen Lage liegt bei 141,5 (Vormonat war 140,8).

Erwartungen der Konsumenten: 73,0 (Vormonat war 74,9)

DIE DURCHSCHNITTLICHEN 12-MONATIGEN INFLATIONSERWARTUNGEN STIEGEN VON 5,3% AUF 5,4%.

Dazu schreibt das Conference Board:

“Confidence pulled back in June but remained within the same narrow range that’s held throughout the past two years, as strength in current labor market views continued to outweigh concerns about the future. However, if material weaknesses in the labor market appear, Confidence could weaken as the year progresses,” said Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board.

“Consumers expressed mixed feelings this month: their view of the present situation improved slightly overall, driven by an uptick in sentiment about the current labor market, but their assessment of current business conditions cooled. Meanwhile, for the second month in a row, consumers were a bit less pessimistic about future labor market conditions. However, their expectations for both future income and business conditions weakened, weighing down the overall Expectations Index.“

„The decline in confidence between May and June was centered on consumers aged 35-54. By contrast, those under 35 and those 55 and older saw confidence improve this month. No clear pattern emerged in terms of income groups. On a six-month moving average basis, confidence continued to be highest among the youngest (under 35) and wealthiest (making over $100K) consumers.”