Die Bank of Canada hat soeben ihre Leitzinsentscheidung veröffentlicht. Der Zins verbleibt bei 1,25%. Die Erwartung für heute lag auf dem bisherigen Stand von 1,25%.
US-Dollar vs kanadischer Dollar reagiert in den ersten Augenblicken mit -89 Pips auf 1,2920.
UPDATE 16:10 Uhr:
Wichtige Aussagen der Notenbanker:
Inflation wird kurzfristig etwas höher sein als noch im April vermutet, vor allem dank gestiegener Benzinpreise.
Insgesamt gesehen zeigten die Entwicklungen seit April, dass der Blick der Notenbanker sich bestätige, dass höhere Zinsen dafür sorgen sollten die Inflation zu bremsen.
FMW: Also stehen Zinserhöhungen ins Haus, nur eben heute noch nicht. Mit der Aussicht auf höhere Zinsen steigt daher aktuell auch der kanadische Dollar, und USD vs CAD fällt jetzt 10 Minuten nach der Entscheidung um 120 Pips auf 1,2889.
Hier der Wortlaut der aktuellen Entscheidung der Bank of Canada:
Global economic activity remains broadly on track with the Bank’s April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) forecast. Recent data point to some upside to the outlook for the US economy. At the same time, ongoing uncertainty about trade policies is dampening global business investment and stresses are developing in some emerging market economies. Global oil prices have been higher than assumed in April, in part reflecting geopolitical developments.
Inflation in Canada has been close to the 2 per cent target and will likely be a bit higher in the near term than forecast in April, largely because of recent increases in gasoline prices. Core measures of inflation remain near 2 per cent, consistent with an economy operating close to potential. As usual, the Bank will look through the transitory impact of fluctuations in gasoline prices.
In Canada, economic data since the April MPR have, on balance, supported the Bank’s outlook for growth around 2 per cent in the first half of 2018. Activity in the first quarter appears to have been a little stronger than projected. Exports of goods were more robust than forecast, and data on imports of machinery and equipment suggest continued recovery in investment. Housing resale activity has remained soft into the second quarter, as the housing market continues to adjust to new mortgage guidelines and higher borrowing rates. Going forward, solid labour income growth supports the expectation that housing activity will pick up and consumption will continue to contribute importantly to growth in 2018.
Overall, developments since April further reinforce Governing Council’s view that higher interest rates will be warranted to keep inflation near target. Governing Council will take a gradual approach to policy adjustments, guided by incoming data. In particular, the Bank will continue to assess the economy’s sensitivity to interest rate movements and the evolution of economic capacity.
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