Soeben wurde der Einkaufsmanagerindex für die USA (S&P Global PMI für Januar) veröffentlicht – einer der besten Gradmesser für die Wirtschaft der USA:
Gesamtindex: 52,3 (7-Monatshoch; Vormonat war 50,9)
Dienstleistungen: 52,9 (7-Monatshoch; Prognose war 51,0; Vormonat war 51,4)
Verarbeitendes Gewerbe: 50,3 (2-Monatstief; Prognose 47,9; Vormonat war 47,9)
Dazu schreibt der Chefvolkswirt von S&P Global, das die Daten erhoben hat:
„An encouraging start to the year is indicated for the US economy by the flash PMI data, with companies reporting a marked acceleration of growth alongside a sharp cooling of inflation pressures“.
“Output measured across both goods and services rose in January at the fastest rate since last June, growth momentum having stepped up a gear on the back of improved demand conditions. New orders inflows have now picked up for three months, buoyed in particular by improving sales to domestic customers, helping lift business confidence about the year ahead to the most optimistic since May 2022.
“Confidence has also been buoyed by hopes of lower inflation in 2024, easing the cost of living squeeze and facilitating the path to lower interest rates. With prices rising in January at the slowest rate since the initial pandemic lockdowns of early 2020, companies report
that selling price inflation is now below the pre-pandemic average and consistent with consumer price inflation dropping below the Fed’s 2% target.
“With the survey indicating that supply delays have intensified while labor markets remain tight, cost pressures will need to be monitored closely in the coming months, but for now the survey send a clear and welcome message of resilient economic growth and sharply waning inflation“.
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