Konjunkturdaten

Preisdruck läßt nach, Lieferzeiten kürzer Wirtschaft USA: Einkaufsmanagerindex besser als befürchtet

Wirtschaft USA Einkaufsmanagerindex Rezession

Soeben wurde die Einkaufsmanagerindex (S&P Global für September) für die USA veröffentlicht – einer der besten Gradmesser für die Wirtschaft der USA:

Verarbeitendes Gewerbe: 51,8 (Prognose war 51,1; Vormonat war 51,5)

Dienstleistung: 49,2 (Prognose war 45,0; Vormonat war 43,7)

Gesamtindex: 49,3 (Vormonat war 44,6)

Dazu S&P Global, das die Daten erhebt:

„US private sector firms registered a softer fall in output during September, according to latest ‘flash’ PMI™ data from S&P Global. Contractions in activity across the manufacturing and service sectors eased. The overall decrease was only marginal and signalled a notably slower rate of decline compared to that seen in August.“

Zur Entwicklung der Preise:

„Reflecting softer rises in cost burdens, firms increased their selling prices at a slower pace at the end of the third quarter. That said, the moderation was led by service providers as manufacturers registered a sharper uptick in output charges in an effort to pass on higher costs to
clients.“

Chris Williamson, Chefvolkswirt von S&P Global kommentiert:

“US businesses are reporting a third consecutive monthly fall in output during September, rounding off the weakest quarter for the economy since the global financial crisis if the pandemic lockdowns of early-2020 are excluded. However, while output declined in both manufacturing and services during September, in both cases the rate of contraction moderated compared to August, notably in
services, with orders books returning to modest growth, allaying some concerns about the depth of the current downturn.

“There was also better news on inflation, with supplier shortages easing to the lowest since October 2020, helping take some of the pressure off raw material prices. These improved supply chains, accompanied by the marked softening of demand since earlier in the year, helped cool overall the rate of inflation of both firms’ costs and average selling prices for goods and services to the lowest since early-2021.

“Inflation pressures nevertheless remain elevated by historical standards and, with business activity in decline, the surveys continue to paint a broad picture of an economy struggling in a stagflationary environment.”

 



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