FMW-Redaktion
Herbe Enttäuschung wieder bei den heutigen Konjunkturdaten: der Philadelphia Fed Index fällt mit -6 unter die Marke 0. Und was ist der Grund? Die Volatilität an den Märkten – und die schlechten internationalen Nachrichten:
„Manufacturing conditions in
the region were mixed in September, according to firms responding to this
month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indicator for general
activity fell into negative territory, but indicators for new orders, shipments,
and employment remained positive. Evidence suggests that the responses regarding
general activity that were received earlier in the month may have been
negatively affected by the volatility in the stock market and international news
reports. Firms reported essentially unchanged prices for raw materials and other
inputs in September and slight declines in prices for their own products. The
survey’s indicators of future activity remained near their readings in August,
indicating that firms expect a continuation of growth in the manufacturing
sector over the next six months. The survey’s broadest measure of manufacturing
conditions, the diffusion index of current activity, decreased from 8.3 in
August to -6.0 this month. This is the first negative reading in the index since
February ’14.“
Quintessenz: damit die US-Konjunkturdaten wieder besser werden, muß man einfach die internationalen Nachrichten abschaffen!
Zuvor waren bereits die US-Baubeginne mit einem Rückgang von 3% schwächer ausgefallen – zumal der Vormonat von +0,2% auf -4,1% nach unten revidiert worden war. Besser dagegen die US-Erstanträge mit 264.000.
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